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美國產險業

CEO

更迭與再保險需求

268

reinsurance ratio from affiliated reinsurers and from non-affiliated reinsurers.

28

Changes in

two year loss development is positively and significantly related to changes in total

reinsurace ratio and reinsurance ratio from affiliated reinsurers

29

, but negatively and

significantly related to changes in reinsurance ratio from non-affiliated reinsurers. The

change in percentage of long-tail lines to total written premiums is positively related to

changes in total reinsurance ratio and reinsurance ratio from affiliated reinsurers. This result

is consistent with those of previous studies (e.g., Garven and Lamm-Tennant, 2003; Garven

et al., 2014) that show a positive relation between reinsurance demand and percentage of line

of long-tail business. The change in coastal premium variable is negatively related to change

in total reinsurance ratio and affiliated reinsurance ratio, implying insurers with higher

percentage of coastal premium tend to have lower reinsurance from affiliated reinsurers to

reduce insolvency risk.

30

Tax shield is not significantly related to demand for reinsurance.

This result is consistent with the findings of Garven and Lamm-Tennant (2003). ROA is

positively and weakly significantly related to change in reinsurance ratio from non-affiliated

reinsurers, suggesting that an insurer with increasing benefit tends to increase reinsurance

from non-affiliated reinsurers. Finally, group is not significantly related to reinsurance

demand.

Table 4 shows the results of regression of change in reinsurance demand on insurers

with routine CEO turnover, non-routine CEO turnover vs. insurers without CEO turnover

(reference variable).

31

We find that insurers with non-routine CEO turnover on average

increase their total reinsurance ratio, affiliated reinsurance ratio and non-affiliated

reinsurance ratio than insurers without CEO turnover. This finding indicates that new CEOs

resulting from non-routine CEO turnovers purchase more reinsurance from affiliated

reinsurers and reinsurance from non-affiliated reinsurers than insurers without CEO turnover.

A possible reason is that new CEOs resulting from non-routine CEO turnover tend to have

more conservative strategies and thus increased demand for reinsurance to stabilize earnings

28 The change in underwriting risk is not significantly and positively related to change in reinsurance ratio

or non-affiliated reinsurance, but insignificantly and negatively related to change in reinsurance from

affiliated reinsures when using univariate analysis.

29 This result is consistent with the findings of Cole and McCullough (2006).

30 The change in percentage of coast premium is not significantly and negatively related to change in total

reinsurance ratio and affiliated reinsurance ratio, but is insignificantly and positively related to change in

non-affiliated reinsurance ratio when using univariate analysis.

31 Thanks to reviewer’s valuable suggestion, we consider three CEO turnover types to discuss in all Models

when insurers without CEO turnover are the reference variable.