Page 226 - 33-2
P. 226

The Relationship between Corporate Political Donations and Government-Controlled Banks’ Loan Rates:
               Evidence from Presidential Elections of Taiwan



               unobservable information, this study identifies two inverse Mills ratios, IMR_DO and
               regresses the political donations (DO) or firms’ donations to the candidate who wins
                 regresses the political donations (DO) or firms’ donations to the candidate who wins
               IMR_SL. Meanwhile, in the second stage, this study regresses the political donations (DO)
               the presidential elections (DOWIN) on the loan rate spread of government-controlled
                 the presidential elections (DOWIN) on the loan rate spread of government-controlled
               or firms’ donations to the candidate who wins the presidential elections (DOWIN) on the
               banks  (RATE_SPREAD),  including  the  inverse  Mills  ratio  estimated  by  an  OLS
                 banks  (RATE_SPREAD),  including  the  inverse  Mills  ratio  estimated  by  an  OLS
               loan rate spread of government-controlled banks (RATE_SPREAD), including the inverse
               regression from the first stage.
                 regression from the first stage.

               Mills ratio estimated by an OLS regression from the first stage.

               First stage:
                 First stage:
               Model 1: Determinants of corporate political donations (logistic regression)
               First stage:
                 Model 1: Determinants of corporate political donations (logistic regression)
                 Model 1: Determinants of corporate political donations (logistic regression)

                 Logit����          = 1��
                             ���
                   Logit����         ���  = 1��
                               =     +                      +                  +              +                   +                     
                                  �    �     ���   �    ���   �   ���   �    ���   �       ���
                                 =     +                      +                  +              +                  ���  +                      ���
                                    �
                                                          ���
                                                                                     �
                                          �
                                                                �
                                                                    ���
                                                                          �
                                               ���
                                                     �
                               +              +                               +              +                                 
                                  �   ���   �        ���   �   ���   �         ���
                                 +              +                              ���  +              +                                  ���
                                                              �
                                    �
                                        ���
                                              �
                                                                  ���
                                                                        �
                               +                                            +                                        +                               
                                  ��             ���   ��              ���  ��           ���
                                 +                                            +                                        +                                ���
                                    ��
                                                                               ��
                                                         ��
                                                   ���
                                                                         ���
                               +                                        +                                               +                             
                                  ��            ���   ��             ���   ��         ���
                                 +                                        +                                              ���  +                              ���
                                                  ���
                                    ��
                                                        ��
                                                                             ��
                               + �                              �                                                                           + � .
                                                                             ���
                                 + �                              �                                                                           + � .   (1)
                                                                               ���


               Model 2: Determinants of corporate long-term versus short-term bank loans (ordered
               Model 2:  Determinants of corporate long-term versus short-term bank loans (ordered
                 Model 2: Determinants of corporate long-term versus short-term bank loans (ordered
               logistic regression)
                         logistic regression)
                  logistic regression)

                                                           ∗
                                                   = 1                     ≤      (                                                       )
                                               �           �  ∗  �
                                                     = 1                     ≤      (                                                       )
                                                            ∗
                                    ∗
                                                                   �
                                                  �
               Logit ����             �����  =     � �          = 2                    <     ≤       (                                                             )�
                                                             �
                                                      �
                                           �
                                                                 �
                                                            �
                                    �
                                                              ∗
                                       ∗
                 Logit ����             �����  =     � �          = 2                    <     ≤       (                                                             )�
                                                              ∗
                                             �
                                                         �
                                                                   �
                                                = 3                    <     
                                                              � ≤       (                                                     )
                                      �
                                                        �
                                                              �
                                             �
                                                                   �
                                                                 ∗
                                                   = 3                    <      ≤       (                                                     )
                                               �
                                                          �
                                                                �
                                                                      �
                                                 =      +                      +                  +              ++                 
                                    �    �     ���   �   ���   �    ���   �    ���
                                                   =      +                      +                  +              ++                 
                                                                                  ���
                                                                      ���
                                                 ���
                                                                            �
                                                                  �
                                      �
                                                            ���
                                           �
                                                       �
                                               +                      +              +                  +                     
                                                          �
                                                    ���
                                                                     �
                                                                           ����
                                                               ���
                                           ���
                                                 �
                                   �
                                                 +                      +              +                  +                     
                                      �
                                                             �
                                                                             ����
                                                                 ���
                                             ���
                                                       ���
                                                   �
                                                                       �
                                               +                  + �                              �                                                                           + � ).  (2)
                                        ���
                                   �
                                                                                        ���
                                                 +                  + �                              �                                                                           + � ).
                                          ���
                                                                                           ���
                                      �

               Second Stage:

               Second Stage:
                    To examine the effect of making corporate political donations during presidential
                 Second Stage:
                    To examine the effect of making corporate political donations during presidential
               elections on the loan interest rate spread at government-controlled banks, this study uses
                      To examine the effect of making corporate political donations during presidential
               elections on the loan interest rate spread at government-controlled banks, this study
               two indicators as a stand-in for independent variables: (1) DO: an indicator that equals one
                 elections on the loan interest rate spread at government-controlled banks, this study
               uses two indicators as a stand-in for independent variables: (1) DO: an indicator that
               when firms make political donations during presidential elections and zero otherwise; and
                 uses two indicators as a stand-in for independent variables: (1) DO: an indicator that
               equals one when firms make political donations during presidential elections and zero
               (2) DOWIN: an indicator that equals one when firms donate to the presidential candidate
                 equals one when firms make political donations during presidential elections and zero
               otherwise;  and  (2)  DOWIN:  an  indicator  that  equals  one  when  firms  donate  to  the
               who wins and zero otherwise. The government-controlled banks' loan rate spread (RATE_
                 otherwise;  and  (2)  DOWIN:  an  indicator  that  equals  one  when  firms  donate  to  the
               presidential candidate who wins and zero otherwise. The government-controlled banks'
                 presidential candidate who wins and zero otherwise. The government-controlled banks'
               loan rate spread (RATE_SPREAD) is a dependent variable representing the difference
                                                     218
                 loan rate spread (RATE_SPREAD) is a dependent variable representing the difference
               between government-controlled banks' loans and risk-free interest rates.
                 between government-controlled banks' loans and risk-free interest rates.


               1.  The effect of corporate political donations on government-controlled bank loan rate
                 1.  The effect of corporate political donations on government-controlled bank loan rate
                                                      47
                                                        47
   221   222   223   224   225   226   227   228   229   230   231