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In-House Provision of Corporate Services: The Case of Property-Casualty Insurers and In-House Actuarial
               Loss Reserve Certification



               to occur in long-tail lines so we use the proportion of business in long-tail commercial
               business lines as a control variable (Beaver et al., 2003).  And we use the fraction of
                                                                    24
               business in personal lines as another control variable. Compared to commercial long-tail
               lines, personal lines are simpler and have a shorter-tail (Mayers and Smith, 1988). (The

               omitted variable is the proportion of business in commercial, short-tail lines.) We have no
               priors on the expected signs for the coefficients of these variables.
                    We measure diversification by line of business and by geographic area using

               Herfindahl indexes of premiums earned by line and state, respectively.  Grace and Leverty
                                                                             25
               (2012) find these variables to be positively related to the loss reserve error, implying that
               over-reserving is positively related to higher concentration by line and by state of business.
               We also include reinsurance usage and growth in the regression model. Reinsurance
               usage is measured as the percentage of gross premiums written ceded to reinsurers, while

               growth is measured as the percentage increase in net premiums written from the previous
               to the current year. Grace and Leverty (2012) find that reinsurance usage and growth are
               negatively related to the loss reserve error. Group affiliation is associated with intragroup

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               reinsurance, which may increase the complexity of the insurer.  Finally, we include an
               indicator variable in the regressions that is set equal to one for privately-held stock insurers
               and equal to zero otherwise. We include this variable and the indicator for publicly-traded
               stock insurers in the regression models. The omitted organizational form is mutuals.










                  24  The term “long-tail” refers to lines of insurance for which there is a long lag between premiums and
                     claim payments. The fraction of net premiums written for commercial long-tail business lines is the
                     proportion of net premiums written in long-tail lines (workers’ compensation, other liability, and
                     commercial automobile liability) to total net premiums written. The fraction of net premiums written
                     from personal lines is the proportion of net premiums written in personal lines (farmowners multiple
                     peril, homeowners multiple peril, automobile private passenger physical damage and private passen-
                     ger automobile liability) to total net premiums written.
                  25  The product or business line Herfindahl index is measured as the sum of the squared percentage of di-
                     rect premiums earned in each of the lines written by the P-C insurer; the geographic Herfindahl index
                     is measured using the sum of the squared percentage of direct business written in each of the 50 states
                     and the District of Columbia by the insurer.
                  26  We have no priors on the sign and significance of the Herfindahl variables and the group affiliation
                     variable. These are merely control variables.


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