Page 44 - 36-1
P. 44

Ambiguity Increases and Insurance Deductibles




                                                                                   �
                                                                 � �
                                                          if             
                                                 −1
                                                                  ,
                                                 −1       if              ,−1  if              ,
                                                           � �           �
                                            �� ��
                                                             ��
                                                                                   �
                                                                
                                                          if              ,   ,   �
                                               = �
                                               =  �  −      if              =  � �  −      if              ,
                                                    −    
                                            � �
                                                             �
                                                           � �  � �       �  �
                                                          otherwise,0
                                                 0 0      oth erw is e ,    otherwise,
             where       is a positive scalar that makes       satisfy the integration by parts of FOC (8). Then, we  is a positive scalar that makes       satisfy the integration by parts of FOC (8). Then, we  is a positive scalar that makes       satisfy the integration by parts of FOC (8). Then, we
                                                                   ��
                                                 �� ��
             where     
                               where     
                    � �               �          � �               �
             find that
             find that         find that
             (1+    )�1−    (     ;      )��1 + (1 +     )�1 −      (     ;      )�� 1 + (1 +     )�1 −      (     ;      )�� 1 + (1 +     )�1 −      (     ;      )��
                                                         ∗ ∗
                                                                        ∗
                            ∗ ∗
                                              ∗
                               ∗ ∗
                                                 ∗
                                                      ∗ ∗
                                                                           ∗
                               (1+    )�1−    (     ;      )��
             (1+    )�1−    (     ;      )��
                            � �               �      � �               �
                      ∗ ∗              ∗
                    �                 � �
                    � �
                     �
                                     ∗ ∗
                                                       ∗
                  × ��         (     −      −     (     ))×[     �    �    ;      � −    �    ;      ��� −    �    ;      ��  �  �
                                    × ��         (     −     
                  × ��         (     −      −     (     ))×[     �    �    ;      −     (     ))×[     �    �    ;      � −    �    ;      ��
                                                             � �
                                     � �
                                                   � �
                                                       �
                    � �               �
                          + (1−    )�    (    ;      ) −    (    ;      )�]        � −    (    ;      )�]        �       ) −    (    ;      )�]        �
                          + (1−    )�    (    ;      ) + (1−    )�    (    ;
                                                                     �
                                                           �
                                                   � �
                                         � �
                                                       � �          �
                                                −     �      �      �
                              ∗ ∗
                                                   ∗
                                                       � �
                                                          �
                                  ∗ ∗
                                        � �
                                                ∗
                                                                         �
             = (1 +     )�1 −     (     ;     )��−     + −
                               = (1 +     )�1
                                            �
             = (1 +     )�1 −     (     ;     )��−     + �     (     ;     )��−     + �  −     �      �
                                                −     �
                                                                     �
                              � �
                                                   � �
                                                       � � �        �
             = (1 +     )�1 −     (     ;     )�(−          ) >0, −          ) >0, ;     )�(−          ) >0,
                                                   ∗
                                                ∗
                                  ∗ ∗
                                          � �
                              ∗ ∗
                                                            �
             = (1 +     )�1 −     (     ;     )�( +     )�1 −     (    
                               = (1
                              � �       � �     �         �
             which co
                     ntradi
                                         .
             which contradicts Equation (D1).
                                  on (D1)
                           s Equati
                          ct
                               which contradicts Equation (D1).
                                                               � �
                                                                                 �
                  We now prove that Condition (D2) holds for all        ( , 1] and         [0,      ] if and only if, for , 1] and         [0,      ] if and only if, for , 1] and         [0,      ] if and only if, for
                                                                                                 ∗
                                                                               ∗ ∗
                  We now prove that Condition (D2) holds for all        (
                                    We now prove that Condition (D2) holds for all        (
                                                               � �             � �  �            �
             all         [0,      ], ],   all         [0,      ],
                                          ∗
                        ∗ ∗
             all         [0,     
                        � �               �
                          �    ;      � ≥    �    ;      � ,    ;      � ,  � �     �              �    ;      � ≥    �    ;      �     �  ,                               (      D  D  3  3  )    )       (          (  D  3  )
                          �    ;      � ≥    �
                            � �
                      �    (    ;      )−    (    ;      )� + [    (    ;      ) −     (    ;      )] ≥0.)−    (    ;      )� + [    (    ;      ) −     (    ;      )] ≥0.)−    (    ;      )� +   [    (    ;        �       �         ) −     (    ;            (  )] ≥0.  D  D    4  4  )  )      (            (  D  4  )
                      �    (    ;     
                                        �    (    ;     
                                               �
                             � �
                                                   � �
                                                             � �
                                                         �
                                       � �
             The if part: Rewrite Condition (D2) as  Rewrite Condition (D2) as
             The if part: Rewrite Condition (D2) as
                                        :
                                   if

                               The
                                     part

                    (2     − 1)�    �    ;      � −    �    ;      ��       � −    �    ;      ��
                                      (2     − 1)�    �
                    (2     − 1)�    �    ;      � −    �    ;      ��    ;
                                    � �        � �    �          �
                                                                                        .
                                                                                           (
                                                                                            D5)
                            + (1 −     )  [    (    ;      )−    (    ;      )] + [    (    ;      )−    (    ;      )]} ≥ 0.   (D5) ;      )]} ≥ 0.   (D5)
                                                                              +
                                               )−    
                                                                                     ;
                                                                                     ≥
                                                
                                                                 )−    
                                                                              ;
                                              +
                                           ;
                                                                 (    
                                                             ;
                                                      ;
                                                       )
                                                         
                                                                                     
                                                         
                                                         [    
                                                                                [
                                                          )]
                                                           
                                                          
                                                            +
                                                    (
                                                                                                  
                                                                        ;
                                                                                   
                                                                   

                                                (1
                                                   −
                                                                                 )]}
                                                                             
                                                              [
                                                                                   (    
                                                                  
                                                                   ;
                                                                                       0
                                                                            )]
                                                                           
                                         (    
                                                                                 
                                                           (    
                                                                                             (
                                                                            (
                                                                        
                                       
                                     )
                                 −
                                       [    
                                                                                        )−    
                                        
                               (1
                            +
                                                                      )−    
                                                                                          

                                                                      (
                                                                                                  �
                                                                                       �
                                                                �
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                                                                                � �
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                                                         � �
                                                                     � �
                                                     e
                                                                                            i

                                                                                           d
                                                                          e
                                                    b
             Note
                                                                            a
                                                                     n
                                                                         n
                                                                                  h
                                                                                  3

                                                                                             t
                                                                         d
                                                                                           )
                                                              .
                                                                     f

                               Note
                                                         g
                                                                           g

                                                                                             o
                                                                                .
                                                                      C
                                                        e
                                                                                D
                                                                                             io
                                                       n
             Note that the term [    (    ;      ) −     (    ;      )] can be negative. Thus, if Conditions (D3) and (D4) hold s (D3) and (D4) hold
                                                             e

                                                                           t
                                                          a

                                                                                            h
                                                                                (
                                                                      b
                                                                                 T

                                                                                    a
                                                                h
                  that
                                                                   c
                                                                       o
                                                                  s
                                                                                      f
                                        the
                                                                   ,


                                                                                    s
                                                           iv

                                                                                      d
                                           term
                                                                          i
                                                                 u

                                                                             t
                                                                             n
                                                                             iv
                                                                                      i
                                                           t

                                                                                     n
                      the
                                                                                     ,

                                                                                              l
                                                                                         o
                                                  a
                                                                                        D
                                                                                   u
                                                                                   )
                                                                        n
                                                                                          n
                                                                               e
                                    that
                                                                    i
                                                   n
                                                                                          4
                                                                                        (
                                                                                        C
                                                                            io

                                                                       e

                                                               T

                                                 c
                                                                              s

                                                                    a
                                                                                               d
                                                                                               n
                                               )][
                                                                 )]
                         term [
                                                           (    
                                                             ;
                                                                  
                                 ;
                                                    
                                      
                                                        −
                                                      )
                                  
                                                 (    
                                                   ;
                                                        
                               (    
                                                              
                                           ;
                                     )
                                         (    
                                                
                                            
                                      −
                                                     �
                                                               �
                                    � �
                                              � �
             for all         [0,      ], then Condition (D5) holds for all        ( , 1] and all         [0,      ]. ], then Condition (D5) holds for all        ( , 1] and all         [0,      ]. ], then Condition (D5) holds for all        ( , 1] and all         [0,      ].
                                                                                �
                                                              � �
                           ∗ ∗
                                             ∗
                                                                                 ∗ ∗
                                                                                                   ∗
             for all         [0,     
                               for all         [0,     
                           � �               �                                   � �               �
                                                              � �               �
                                                         e
                                                        v
                                                            h
                                            f

                                             pa
                                                       o

                                    The
                                                           t
                                        n
                                       o

                                          y
                                            i

                                          l
                                                             a
                                                  W
                                                 :

                                                    e
                                                t
                                                              ,
                                                             t
                                                                f
                                                     pr
                  The only if part: We prove that, if there exists         [0,      ] such that     (    ;      )<    (    ;      ) or ] such that     (    ;      )<    (    ;      ) or ] such that     (    ;      )<    (    ;      ) or
                                               r
                                                               i


                                                                                   ∗
                                                                 ∗ ∗
                  The only if part: We prove that, if there exists         [0,     there exists         [0,     
                                                                                           � �
                                                                                                             �
                                                                                                   �
                                                                                 � � �
                                                                 � �
                                                                                                  �
             �    (    ;      ) −     (    ;      )� + [    (    ;      )−    (    ;      )] <0,  then  there  exists        [ , 1] such  that  the ) −     (    ;      )� + [    (    ;      )−    (    ;      )] <0,  then  there  exists        [ , 1] such  that  the ) −     (    ;      )� + [    (    ;      )−    (    ;      )] <0,  then  there  exists        [ , 1] such  that  the
                                                                                � �
                               �    (    ;     
             �    (    ;     
                                                                     �
                                                �
                    � �
                                                           �
                              � �
                                                    � �
                                          � �
                                      �
                                                                                � �               �
                                                                                      c
                                                                               e
                                                                                              lo
                                                                                         th
                                                                                 Con
                                                                                       ases.
                                                                            lo
                                                                            l
                                                                                .
                                                                          f

                                                                              v
                                                                                   wo
                                                                              wing
                                                                                            f

                                                                                            Case
                                                                           o

                                                                                           e
                                                                                              l
                                                                                             o
                                                                                    s
                                                                                     ider
                                                                                   t
                                                  t
                                                 a

                           Conditi
                                            f
                                           o
                     si
                                             Conditi
                                                       D5)
                                                       negati
                                                            v
                                                           ev
                                                     is
                                                    on
                                                      (

                                     D5)
                                    (

                         o
                          f
                               left-hand

                                  on
                       d
                                          e

                                           aluated
                                       si
                        e
                                         d
                                         ev
                                                                   a
                                                                   ider
                                                                    t
                                                               Con
             left-hand
                                                                  s
                                                                       th
                                                                         e
                                                                         negati

             left-hand side of Condition (D5) evaluated at      is negative. Consider the following two cases. Case wing two cases. Case
                                                                       is
                                                             e
                                                             aluated
                                                              .
                                                       
                                                                         
                               1:
                                 S
                                   upp
                                             ∗ ∗
             1: Suppose that there exists     ose that there exists      �  � �  � �� ∗  � �  � �  �  �  �  �
             1: Suppose that there exists         [0,      ] such that     (     ;     )<    (     ;      ). When evaluated at      =   [0,      ] such that     (     ;     )<    (     ;      ). When evaluated at      =   [0,      ] such that     (     ;     )<    (     ;      ). When evaluated at      =
                                             � �
                                      � �
                                                                   negative.
                                                        iti
                                                          on
                                                                            ase
                                ,
                                                            (D
                                             sid
                                  the
                                      f
                                     e
                                     l
                                        -hand
                                                                                2:
                                       t
                                                                           C
                                                                                    p
                                                                 i

                                                  f
                                                                                   u
                                                                 s
                                                                                  S
                                                              5)
             1, the left-hand side of Condition (D5) is negative. Case 2: Suppose that there exists         [0,      ]    [0,      ]
             1, the left-hand side of Condition (D5) is negative. Case 2: Suppose that there exists     pose that there exists         [0,      ]
                                                   Cond

                                                 o

                                               e
                                                                                              ∗ ∗
                                                                                                                ∗
                               1
                                                                                              � �
                                                                                                        �
                                                                                                                �
                                                                                      � �
             such  that �    (     ;     )−    (     ;      )� + [    (     ;     ) −     (     ;      )] <0.  We  can  find  an      = +    , ;     )−    (     ;      )� + [    (     ;     ) −     (     ;      )] <0.  We  can  find  an      = +    , ;     )−    (     ;      )� + [    (     ;     ) −     (     ;      )] <0.  We  can  find  an      = +    ,
                                                                                           � �
                                                                                                            �
             such  that �    (    
                               such  that �    (    
                                                            � �
                                                     � � �
                                                                              �
                          � �
                                                 � �
                                            �
                                                                                 �
                                                          �
                                                                   �
                                        � �
                                                                       �
                                               �
                             � �
                                     � �
                                                               � �
                                                                                           � �              �
             where      is positive and sufficiently small so that the left-hand side of Condition (D5) is negative.
             where      is positive and sufficiently small so that the left-hand side of Condition (D5) is negative.  Condition (D5) is negative.
                                                           tly s
                                                              m
                                                                                an
                                                     f
                                                      ficien
                                                                al
                                                                     hat th
                                                                          e
                                                                     t
                                                                 l so
                                                                            left-h
                                       is po
                                           sitiv
                                                                                        of
                               wher
                                    e
                                                                                     de
                                                                                  d
                                                and su
                                              e
                                                                                    si
                                         
                                                      36
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