Page 159 - 35-2
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NTU Management Review Vol. 35 No. 2 Oct. 2025




               6.3 Frequency of Forecast Revision
                   In this subsection, we examine whether the 2005 change in accounting standards also
               leads to changes in forecast frequency. Analysts revise their forecasts (increasing forecast
               frequency) upon receiving new information that is sufficiently important to prompt

               a revision to an existing forecast through the pursuit of additional information about
               future earnings. In line with Holden and Stuerke (2008), we estimate the determinants of
               analysts’ forecast frequency, presenting the results in Table 6. FREQ is the average number
               of revisions made by an individual analyst, measured as the total number of revisions made

               to existing forecasts between earnings announcements scaled by the number of analysts
               following. AVG_VOL is the average daily trading volume over the year prior to the date
               of the annual earnings announcement. ABS_PRICECHANGE is the average daily price
               change over the year prior to the date of the annual earnings announcement, measured as

               the average of the absolute difference between daily high and low stock prices scaled by
               the closing price. SKEW is the skewness of daily trading volume over the year prior to the
               date of the annual earnings announcement. All other variables are as previously defined.
                   We find that the frequency of forecast revisions decreases in the post-IFRS period,

               as reflected in the negative coefficient on UK×POST in Column (1) and the negative
               coefficients on all interaction terms between UK and the time-period indicators in Column
               (2). The frequency of forecast revisions is lower among UK firms reporting under the
               full fair value model (IFRS) than it is among UK firms reporting under the partial fair

               value model (domestic standards). The results are consistent with the view that improved
               consistency between income statements and balance sheets under the full fair value model
               can help analysts to more effectively assess future outcomes.



               6.4 Assessing Parallel Trend Assumptions
                   One potential concern with our main argument is that the results are driven by
               coincidental changes in market conditions that are unrelated to IFRS. To address
               this concern, we conduct an analysis aimed specifically at validating parallel trend
               assumptions. This analysis includes PRE, an indicator variable that equals one if the

               observation comes from two or more years prior to IFRS adoption and zero otherwise. A
               significant UK×PRE coefficient raises concerns that parallel trend assumptions may not
               hold. Table 7 presents the results of the analysis. In Column (1), UK×PRE is insignificant,



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