61 /302
61
臺大管理論叢
2018/8
第
28
卷 第
2
期
61-96
DOI:10.6226/NTUMR.201808_28(2).0003
汽車製造商自中國採購之供應鏈風險關鍵因素
分析
Key Factors of Supply Chain Risk for the Procurement of
Automobile Manufacturer from China
摘 要
因應企業脈動與汽車市場供應鏈變化，中國成為全球最具潛力的市場及零組件供應
者。台灣車廠為達精準的採購策略轉而擴大向中國供應商採購。而自中國採購的供應
鏈存在不確定性與風險，如能提前解析，方能保障台灣車廠採購安全與效率。本研究
主要目的是分析
C
公司自中國採購的供應鏈存在那些關鍵風險
？
且如何因應與管理
？
本文應用德爾菲法、
DANP (DEMATEL-Based ANP)
法及簡單加權法作為研究方法。研
究顯示，關鍵構面為「供應風險」及「環境風險」，而關鍵準則是「品質風險」及「交
期風險」；最後藉由個案實際之供應商的風險評估發現，自中國採購之供應商風險為
動態變化之形勢，須依個別供應商之風險分析項目結果以提出具體的因應策略，以期
能達到供應商風險預警效果。
【關鍵字】
供應鏈風險、決策實驗室法、網路程序分析法
Abstract
In response to the changing needs of enterprises and changes in global automobile market
supply chain, China has become the most promising automobile market and components
supplier in the world. Taiwanese automobile manufacturers aspire to achieve a more rapid,
effective, and accurate procurement strategy to expand sourcing from suppliers in China.
However, considerable uncertainty and risk are involved in purchasing goods from supply
chains in China. Improved understanding and analysis can safeguard the procurement of
security and efficiency. This research examines the key risk factors involved in purchasing
goods from supply chains in China by investigating an individual case of purchasing
strategy adjustment. How do enterprises respond and manage these risk factors? The
concept framework of this research was created through a literature review and expert
interviews. The Delphi method was employed to achieve consensus and identify a study
framework comprising 4 dimensions and 15 criteria. Finally, the Decision-Making Trial
and Evaluation Laboratory-based Analytic Network Process method was used to weight
and rank the dimensions and criteria. The key dimensions were “supply risk” and
“environmental risk” and the key criteria were “quality risk” and “delivery risk.” The
actual supplier risk assessment of three cases revealed that procurement from Chinese
suppliers entails risks in a dynamic situation. Therefore, individual supplier risks should
be analyzed to provide coping strategies and to achieve an effective early risk warning for
suppliers.
【
Keywords
】
supply chain risk, Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory
(DEMATEL), Analytic Network Process (ANP)
邱榆淨
/
中原大學企業管理學系副教授
Yu-Jing Chiu
, Associate Professor, Department of Business Administration, Chung Yuan Christian
University
邱守序
/
中原大學企業管理學系研究所碩士暨中華汽車生產管理部專案經理
Shou-Hsu Chiu
, Master, Department of Business Administration, Chung Yuan Christian University and
Project Manager, China Motor Corporation Production Control Management Division
Received 2014/11, Final revision received 2015/12